Lawrence Kudlow

Brian Domitrovic

The little-known story of how JFK pioneered supply-side economics Who invented supply-side economics the idea that cutting tax rates can result in more growth, more prosperity at all income levels, and even more tax revenue flowing into the IRS? Most people would credit the economic team that advised Ronald Reagan in the late 1970s and early 1980s. But in fact, supply-side economics actually came of age two decades earlier. And the first president who embraced it was one of the biggest icons of the Democratic Party John F. Kennedy. As Larry Kudlow and Brian Domitrovic explain, this is an inconvenient fact for both parties. Liberals hate the idea that JFK successfully pioneered an economic principle that has become a core part of the GOP platform. And conservatives hate to admit that their hero, Reagan, grabbed one of his most successful policies not merely from a Democrat, but from a KENNEDY. So neither side has much incentive to talk about the tax battles inside the Kennedy Administration. In a blow-by-blow narrative of those years, the authors reveal how JFK assembled Keynesian advisors, only to reject their plans for loose money and big spending. Instead, Kennedy embraced ideas advanced by the non-Keynesians on his team of rivals and drew upon his own deep reading of history to opt for tax cuts and a recommitment to the gold standard. Here we meet a fascinating cast of Kennedy Administration characters, especially Treasure Secretary Douglas Dillon, the token Republican in JFK's cabinet. Dillon's opponents, such as liberal economists Paul Samuelson, Robert Solow, and James Tobin, strove to stifle the push to bring down the high tax rates--including an astonishing 91% top rate on the wealthiest earners-- that were damaging the economy. Once JFK became convinced of the power of tax cuts, he held his ground against the Keynesians. And as Kennedy made his case for the tax cut, the economy took off. After the assassination, Lyndon Johnson finally signed the tax-cut law in February 1964. The subsequent economic boom delivered the greatest prosperity the nation had ever seen. The First Supply-Sider is an eye-opening look at one of the most important yet least understood episodes in American economic history. It reveals the low-tax tradition within the Democratic party, one that the Republicans at last made their own only with Reagan.

A Secret History of American Prosperity

JFK and the Reagan Revolution

Arthur B. Laffer

Jeanne Cairns Sinquefield

The definitive history of the effect of the income tax on the economy. Ever since 1913, when the United States first imposed the income tax via constitutional amendment, the top rate of that tax has determined the fate of the American economy. When the top rate has been high, as in the late 1910s, the 1930s, 1940s, 1950s, and 1970s, the response of those with money and capital has been to curtail real economic activity in favor of protecting assets and income streams. Huge declines have come to the economy in these circumstances. The most brutal example was the Great Depression itself. When the top tax rate has been cut and held at reduced levels—as in the 1920s, the 1960s, in the long boom of the 1980s and 1990s, and briefly in the late 2010s—astonishing reversals have occurred. The rich have brought their money out of hiding and put it to work in the economy. The huge swings in the American economy since 1913 have had an inverse relationship to income tax rates.

Brian Domitrovic

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