J. Keith Ord

Peter Haggett

Andrew D. Cliff

Emeritus Professor of Geography Peter Haggett

Professor of Management Science and Statistics J Keith Ord

Keith A. Bassett

Richard B. Davies

Static aspects of regional structure; Dynamic aspects of regional structure; Autocorrelation and forecasting.

A Quantative Approach

Elements of Spatial Structure

Matthew Smallman-Raynor

Matthew R. Smallman-Raynor

Despite advances in modern medicine, the power of plagues to terrify, disrupt and bring huge swings in morbidity and mortality in their wake remains potent. A Geography of Infection explores the spatial mechanisms by which infectious diseases, such as measles and influenza, can develop into epidemics and pandemics.

Spatial Processes and Patterns in Epidemics and Pandemics

A Geography of Infection

Ralph D. Snyder

Rob Hyndman

Anne B. Koehler

Exponential smoothing methods have been around since the 1950s, and are still the most popular forecasting methods used in business and industry. However, a modeling framework incorporating stochastic models, likelihood calculation, prediction intervals and procedures for model selection, was not developed until recently. This book brings together all of the important new results on the state space framework for exponential smoothing. It will be of interest to people wanting to apply the methods in their own area of interest as well as for researchers wanting to take the ideas in new directions. Part 1 provides an introduction to exponential smoothing and the underlying models. The essential details are given in Part 2, which also provide links to the most important papers in the literature. More advanced topics are covered in Part 3, including the mathematical properties of the models and extensions of the models for specific problems. Applications to particular domains are discussed in Part 4.

The State Space Approach

Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing

J. Keith Ord

Books

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