James Gillogly

Thomas G. Mahon

"Featuring facsimilies of the actual coded documents, the book delves into nearly every matter conceivable for a paramilitary organisation, ranging from the importation of explosives to the use of IRA informants in the gardai. Documents detail the IRA's secret agreement with the Soviet Union and its attempts to provide military assistance to China; military espionage in America; plans to stage a gas attack on Dublin; the IRA's infiltration of the GAA and control of the Kerry football team and the struggle with Eamon de Valera and Fianna Fail. The book provides an unnerving insight into how the IRA saw itself and conducted its dangerous business in secrecy."--BOOK JACKET.

Decoding the IRA

Rand Corporation

James A. Dewar

Mario Leon Juncosa

Computerized combat models are known occasionally to exhibit non-monotonic behavior in the sense that adding capabilities to one of the combatants degrades rather than improves the battle outcome for that side. Using a simple combat model, this report shows that for an important class of (nonlinear) combat phenomena--reinforcement decisions based on the state of the battle--such non-monotonicities can be widespread and are related to mathematically chaotic behavior caused by the nonlinearities. Unlike other common sources of non-monotonicity, the latter makes ameliorating the non-monotonicities difficult. This report also demonstrates that larger, more complex models are not immune to these effects. The emerging understanding of these effects has serious implications for the verification of models that are to be used for comparative purposes.

James Gillogly

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