Mark W. Rosegrant

Mercedita A. Sombilla

The Philippine economy has grown rapidly since 2010, but despite this growth, poverty and inequality remain high. Two-thirds of the poor live in rural areas, and the weak performance of the agriculture sector has contributed to the slow improvement in livelihoods. The challenge for agriculture will further increase, with climate change posing a growing threat to the sector. But agricultural transformation to spur sustained growth and reduce poverty is still possible under climate change with aggressive institutional reforms and implementation of the right mix of policies and programmes. The identification of the suitable policy and programme combination requires an accurate assessment of the key drivers of agricultural growth and food security; the impacts of climate change on agriculture and the overall economy; and the effectiveness of policies for adaptation and growth. This book addresses these big issues, focusing on enhancing the adaptation capacity of the Philippine agriculture sector. It is designed to provide a much-needed base of knowledge and menu of policy options to support decision- and policymaking on agriculture, climate change, and food security. The volume uses newly generated data, modelling outputs, and innovative analyses to provide a scientific basis for a variety of adaptation measures under different sets of climate change scenarios to guide decision-makers in strategic planning and policy formulation. “As we have actually experienced in Leyte, an island province in the Visayas where Super Typhoon Yolanda (Haiyan) struck, disasters caused by natural hazards could completely negate economic gains, devastate families and shatter dreams. Our greatest challenge is to make ourselves better prepared for and be more resilient to such disasters. Natural hazards need not always lead to loss of so many lives and properties. This book shows us ways and provides tools to draw up climate change and socioeconomic scenarios at the regional and provincial levels, allowing us to identify strategies for mitigating climate change risks.” — Ernesto M. Pernia, Secretary of Socioeconomic Planning, National Economic and Development Authority, Philippines “This book by top Philippine researchers combines state-of-the-art biophysical and economic modeling of climate impacts and adaptation policies with in-depth synthesis of agriculture, natural resources, climate trends, and policies. It provides a comprehensive assessment of climate change impacts on agriculture and the broader economy to provide important insights for Philippine policymakers.” — Dr Cynthia Rosenzweig, Head, Climate Impacts Group, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Co-Founder of the Agricultural Model Inter-comparison and Improvement Project (AgMIP)

Policies, Investments and Scenarios

The Future of Philippine Agriculture under a Changing Climate

Jennifer Thompson

Ousmane Badiane

Doris Wiesmann

Claudia Ringler

Constanze von Oppeln

Klaus von Grebmer

Klaus von Grebmer, Claudia Ringler, Mark W. Rosegrant, Tolulope Olofinbiyi, Doris Wiesmann, Heidi Fritschel, Ousmane Badiane, Maximo Torero, Yisehac Yohannes, Jennifer Thompson, Constanze von Oppeln, Joseph Rahall

Tolulope Olofinbiyi

Heidi Fristschel

Maximo Torero

Yisehac Yohannes

Joseph Rahall

Selon lIndice de la faim dans le monde 2012 (GHI), la faim dans le monde a quelque peu diminué depuis 1990 mais reste « grave ». La moyenne mondiale masque des écarts importants entre les régions et les pays. A léchelle régionale, ce sont lAsie du Sud et lAfrique subsaharienne qui obtiennent les scores GHI les plus élevés. LAsie du Sud a considérablement diminué son score GHI entre 1990 et 1996, notamment en réduisant le nombre denfants souffrant dinsuffisance pondérale, mais na pas pu maintenir un tel rythme de progrès. Bien que lAfrique subsaharienne ait accompli moins de progrès que lAsie du Sud dans les années 1990, elle a rattrapé son retard depuis le début du millénaire ; désormais son score GHI est inférieur à celui de lAsie du Sud. Entre le GHI de 1990 et celui de 2012, 15 pays ont réduit leur score dau moins 50%. En termes de progrès absolus, entre les GHI de 1990 et de 2012, les pays qui ont le plus amélioré leur score sont lAngola, le Bangladesh, lEthiopie, le Malawi, le Nicaragua, le Niger et le Vietnam. Vingt pays continuent dafficher un niveau de faim « extrêmement alarmant » ou « alarmant ». La plupart des pays ayant un score GHI alarmant sont en Afrique subsaharienne et en Asie du Sud (cependant, le GHI 2012 ne reflète pas la récente crise qui a frappé la Corne de lAfrique et qui sest intensifiée en 2011, ni la situation dinsécurité alimentaire au Sahel). Deux des trois pays ayant obtenu un score GHI 2012 extrêmement alarmant, le Burundi et lErythrée, se situent en Afrique subsaharienne ; le troisième pays concerné est Haïti. Le score GHI dHaïti a chuté denviron 25% entre 1990 et 2001, mais cette amélioration a connu un revers dans les années postérieures. Bien que le séisme dévastateur de janvier 2010 ne soit pas entièrement reflété dans le GHI 2012 à cause dun manque de données récentes, il a replongé Haïti dans la catégorie « extrêmement alarmant ». Contrairement aux dernières années, la République démocratique du Congo nest pas classée dans la catégorie « extrêmement alarmant ». Cela est dû à des données insuffisantes pour calculer le score GHI du pays. Il est urgent de disposer de données actualisées et fiables afin dévaluer la situation du pays.

Relever le Defi de la Faim: Assurer une Sécurité Alimentaire Durable Dans un Monde Sous Contraintes en Eau, en énergie et en Ter

Indice de la Faim Dans le Monde 2012

Per Pinstrup-Andersen

In recent decades the world has made remarkable progress in improving the quality of life for millions of people, but the job of assuring sustainable food security for the world's poorest people remains unfinished. Booming populations, rapid urbanization,

Perspectives on Overcoming Hunger, Poverty, and Environmental Degradation

The Unfinished Agenda

Philip G. Pardey

C. Ford Runge

Benjamin Senauer

At a time in history when conflict erupts daily in far-flung corners of the world, ending severe deprivation may be critical to global peace and stability. Yet we are far from reaching the goal of reducing hunger by 2025. The authors of this book bring good news: hunger can be banished in our lifetime. They first distill what is already known about fighting hunger and then report on important new research findings and projections that show it can be done, through new and renewed institutions, scientific innovation, global economics and investment, and sustainable environmental practices. Although the book encompasses a wide array of ideas, arguments, facts, and figures, it is not a dry, academic text. Anyone wanting a better understanding of poverty and hunger and how to end it will benefit from reading it.

Food Security and Globalization

Ending Hunger in Our Lifetime

Mark W. Rosegrant

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