William R. Thompson

Leonid E. Grinin

Andrey V. Korotayev

Stephen I. Ternyik

Tessaleno C. Devezas

Brian J. L. Berry

Euel Elliott

Leo Nefiodow

Valentina M. Bondarenko

Zenonas Norkus

Sergey Yu. Malkov

Arno Tausсh

Marco Gallegati

Elżbieta Mączyńska

Anthony Harper

Though the researchers of the theory of long and medium-term cycles are certainly worried about the economic situation, they understand that the cyclicity still remains an inevitable attribute of economic development. And Juglar's aphorism that crisis is a consequence of the preceded prosperity is still true. In this third issue of the Yearbook ‘Kondratieff Waves’ with the subtitle ‘Cycles, Crises, and Forecasts’, we present a number of insight contributions on nature, egularities, and interconnections among cycles of different duration. Some economic cycles may result in a severe economic crisis. The current one shows once again the importance of the study of cyclical dynamics and its peculiarities. Between the 1980s and 1990s the Keynesian receipts were replaced by neoliberal and monetarist ones which seemed to be miraculous as well. The depleted growth was marked with the largest global crisis of 2008 which also showed that within globalization when regulation in the international arena is impossible yet, there recur the signs of Juglar cycles of the 19th and first half of the 20th centuries with their uncontrollable upwards and sharp declines evolving into collapses and panic. This is supported by the fact that for eight years the world has been at the depressive phase. This edition will be useful for economists, social scientists, as well as for a wide range of those interested in the problems of the past, present, and future of global economy and globalization. This research has been supported by the Russian Foundation for the Humanities (Project No 16-02-14053 г).

Cycles, Crises, and Forecasts

KONDRATIEFF WAVES

David Christian

David Baker

Anton L. Grinin

Alexander D. Panov

George Modelski.

Valentina M. Bondarenko.

Ivan A. Aleshkovski

Alexey I. Andreev

Julia V. Zinkina

Oleg A. Alekseenko

Olga G. Leonova

Tatyana L. Shestova

Craig G. Benjamin

Sergey V. Tsirel

Kentaro Sakuwa

Mikhail А. Kaverin 

Vladimir Maslov

Stanislav Ye. Bilyuga

Olga I. Davydova

Dmitry S. Malkov.

Lowell Gustafson

Alexander V. Markov

Joseph Voros

This yearbook is the fourth in the series with the title Globalistics and Globalization Studies. The subtitle of the present volume is Global History & Big History. The point is that today our global world really demands global knowledge. Thus, there are a few actively developing multidisciplinary approaches and integral disciplines among which one can name Global Studies, Global History and Big History. They all provide a connection between the past, present, and future. Big History with its vast and extremely heterogeneous field of research encompasses all the forms of existence and all timescales and brings together constantly updated information from the scientific disciplines and the humanities. Global History is transnational or world history which examines history from a global perspective, making a wide use of comparative history and of the history of multiple cultures and nations. Global Studies express the view of systemic and epistemological unity of global processes. Thus, one may argue that Global Studies and Globalistics can well be combined with Global History and Big History and such a multi-disciplinary approach can open wide horizons for the modern university education as it helps to form a global view of various processes.

Big History & Global History

Globalistics and Globalization Studies

Sergey Yu. Malkov

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